new left Democrats are only five percentage points behind the conservative decision in advance of the general election on Monday, three polls released Friday.
Narrow lead makes it unlikely that the Conservatives will win the majority, that they seek to the House of Commons, although that two pollsters said that it was within reach, according to the rate of participation and how the Liberals and the new democratic party has split the centre-left vote.
"Rate of voting the election day will tell if it's a Tory minority or majority government," Ipsos Reid, said in his commentary on the survey, conducted for Global National television and news Postmedia.
EKOS pollster Frank Graves put the conservatives to 34.5% and said that with only a point or two CBC Television more, they could "back in a majority government" by splitting the centre-left vote.
EKOS had the NDP, which took place in a distant third at the start of the campaign, to 29.7% and the Liberals to the lowest of 20.0%.
Ipsos Reid placed liberals even lower, to 18 per cent, with the conservatives to 38% and the NDP to 33%.
Nanos Research developed 36.4% support for the Conservatives, NDP 31.2% and the Liberals to 22.0%. He was the NDP, who had been the smallest of the four parties in the House of Commons, continuing to trend higher in Ontario and British Columbia Colombia.
EKOS has stated that the Conservatives retained a advance high of 12 points in Ontario, as the NDP splits the votes of the left with the Liberals in the province, which has more than one third of the seats in the House of Commons, but Ipsos Reid was the Ontario Conservatives lead only half as large.
The Canadian electoral system, a party had usually needs about 40% of the popular vote national to win a majority of the 308 seats in the House of Commons, but it is to be recalculated now due to patterns of support unprecedented in the 2011 election.
Three polls cover the period from 26 to 28 April.
The telephone survey automated 3.353 Canadians, including voters sampled EKOS decided to 3,066. The margin of error for the total sample is 1.7 points, 19 times out of 20.
Called Ipsos Canadian 1,710, for a margin of error point 2.4. The telephone survey covered Nanos 1.021 committed voters, with a margin of error point 3.1.
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