Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Why the Taliban won't miss Ben Laden

As the Sun rose, the men of the RAID party chanted verses of the that RAN, spread their headscarves checkered pattern on the dirt and prayed for rapid adoption of Osama bin Laden in paradise. It is a ritual that they had made a hundred times for their fallen comrades. But there is no grief explosions or promises of revenge. Bin Laden was a good Muslim, said Taliban small, filamentous, leading the ritual. Bin Laden had assigned a life of luxury for one of the difficulties, and was worthy of his "death on the battlefield." In addition, with regard to the Taliban, "his death had no impact, said the judge, who goes by the name of war"khanjari"(and whose identity was confirmed by a member of the security service of the Afghanistan)."


"All the members of my group are also brave like Osama," continued the Khanjari. "The only difference is that he had more money..." My friends more to say than he. One of us would take a bullet each other. "For the Taliban, Osama bin Laden has been much less important that some members of the West can hope. (See the photos of the battle against the Taliban).


As a combat season should be the bloodiest in a decade gets underway in Afghanistan, a widespread Western commentary is to assign the escalation to a desire to avenge Osama bin Laden. Monday, Deputy Head of communication in Kabul, General Christine Whitecross, NATO has suggested that "al-Qaeda and Taliban will try to take his revenge by intensifying their attacks, but Afghan and directed international troops by NATO does not succeed." Last month, however, NATO has been claiming that al-Qaeda had less than 100 officers in Afghanistan, and they were mainly place in the northeast corner of the country. Today, however, linking the violence in al-Qaeda is a ploy to throw the long spur - should violence as having no connection with the root causes of the insurgency, said one Western diplomat. "People wonder what... we doing in Afghanistan, we've killed bin Laden, was not the whole point." This could be a way of thinking would us better quickly bind what remains of al-Qaeda to what happens in Afghanistan as a cover so that we can stay till 2014. "I wish that someone would call them on this subject because it is... bulls * t.".


President Hamid Karzai is also in on the game, stating that the synchronized attacks that brought the city of Kandahar at a standstill last weekend were the work of al-Qaeda, although it is made clear that he had been a Taliban long operation in the production. Blame al-Qaeda was a way to blame deflector of the Afghan Government and its security forces, who are still shaken by a mass jailbreak, which saw about 500 insurgents to escape. "It is really embarrassing," said the Western diplomat, comparing with the Tet offensive 1968, who delivered a decisive victory of propaganda for the Vietcong. "It shows [the Afghan Security Forces] it cannot handle, they cannot stop 60 people from getting in with heavy weapons, PKMs [guns], RPG [rocket].". It is really poor optically. "Especially if as the cornerstone of the NATO exit strategy is given control of the towns and villages of the Afghanistan to the ANSF, starting in July. (See the photos of the Lair of Osama bin Laden in Pakistan).


The dominant view among analysts and diplomats is that, at the highest level, the Taliban have allowed in fact almost certainly death of Osama bin Laden. Michael Semple, a veteran labor Afghanistan and one of the main promoters of a political with the Taliban settlement, said many of the leaders of the movement bitterly resentful Ben Laden for charming Mullah Mohammad Omar in him giving a shrine, persuading the clerc inexperienced that the Americans had no stomach for a fight - and thereforelosing their grip on the Afghanistan when al-Qaeda has led an American invasion. "They say basically good riddance," said Semple. "They could not be seen to give him themselves and it is not certainly rely on them for his safety, but now they say...". "It is the road, we'll see what happens. "


This does not mean that the Taliban prepares to leave the fight, of course. Tuesday saw the police checkpoints storm about 200 insurgents in the mountainous province isolated from Nuristan - the second attack on a large scale in four days. In the East of the Afghanistan, an improvised explosive device claimed just the 167th casualty coalition of the year. Five people were killed and a dozen injured when a bomber rammed his motorcycle in the door of a building Monday in the Government. Militarily, the Taliban strategy is always a ride-out, a "Let's move to what we can until the U.S. get tired and go home," in terms of Semple. (See a photo of the bin Laden family album).


But the capacity of the United States to locate and strike bin Laden will also be anxious activists. "You want to get my details?". I will end up as Osama bin Laden, "laughter Khanjari on application in time for his real name." Can also are wary of Pakistan, who offers them shelter, but was pleased to liquidate the Talib leadership in the past. With Pakistan under enormous pressure from Washington, activists fear that may happen again. "Mullah Baradar lived in the Madrasah even in Karachi 10 years," said Khanjari, referring to former Taliban No. 2, who was arrested by the early 2010 Pakistan's spy agency. "When Pakistanis feel a threat, they give you some senior Taliban."


Still, Semple believes that because bin Laden is more a stone of stumbling, the United States should negotiate directly with the leaders of the Taliban in Pakistan. "Grasp the nettle", said. "After years of pushing Pakistan to tolerate or conducting security raids, it is time to push the Pakistani for something that they have been recommending - political commitment." Find a mutually acceptable settlement will be difficult, but only provided Abbotabad raid a new starting point.

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